Posted Jul 2nd 2008 4:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Box Office, Family Films, Comic/Superhero/Geek, Box Office Predictions
It was a good weekend at the box office for both of last week's newbies, marking the first time in history that two films opening on the same weekend pulled in over $50 million each. Here's the top five:
1. Wall-E: $63 million
2. Wanted: $50.9 million
3. Get Smart: $20.2 million
4. Kung Fu Panda: $11.7 million
5. The Incredible Hulk: $9.6 million Only one major release this week, but we've also got one going into wider release.
Hancock
What's It All About: Will Smith plays Hancock, a hard drinking anti-social superhero, and a PR agent played by
Jason Bateman sets out to repair Hancock's public image.
Why It Might Do Well: Will Smith may not always have the Midas touch (
I Am Legend left me cold) but he's got quite a few successful blockbusters under his belt, and people are loving the superhero flicks these days. I've liked Bateman's work a lot since
Arrested Development, and I'm always glad to see him. Also, Cinematical's own Kim Voynar has given the film
her seal of approval.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Unlike most big-budget superhero movies, this one doesn't originate from another media like comic books, so it doesn't come with the core fanbase of an
Iron Man or an
Incredible Hulk. Also, the 36% fresh rating at
Rottentomatoes.com is not encouraging.
Number of Theaters: 3,900
Prediction: $45 million
And going into wider release this week...
Continue reading Box Office: Hancock Arrives
Posted Jun 25th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Box Office, Angelina Jolie, Comic/Superhero/Geek, Box Office Predictions
Steve Carell scored big this week recreating the role of Agent Maxwell Smart in
Get Smart, providing the best opening weekend ever for a film with Carell in the lead.
The Incredible Hulk fell into second place for its second week but
Hulk and
Kung Fu Panda both outdid last week's other new release
The Love Guru. Here are the totals:
1. Get Smart: $38.6 million
2. The Incredible Hulk: $22.1 million
3. Kung Fu Panda: $21.9 million
4. The Love Guru: $13.9 million
5. The Happening: $10.5 million
Two wide releases this week, a heartwarming comedy for the whole family and a stylized action adventure shoot-em-up for the older crowd.
WALL-E
What's It All About: Disney/Pixar is back with the tale of a lovable sentient trash compactor. WALL-E has been alone on the abandoned Planet Earth for hundreds of years, but he discovers a new purpose when he meets a robot named EVE. Apparently WALL-E has stumbled upon the key to the planet's future, a solution which the human race eagerly awaits.
Why It Might Do Well: The trailers look promising and WALL-E is written and directed by
Andrew Stanton, who served in the same capacity on
Finding Nemo, Pixar's most financially successful film to date. Plus, our star has the cute going on.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Science fiction writer Isaac Asimov described a condition called The Frankenstein Complex, which is a fear of robots -- but look at the little guy. Did I mention he's cute? This is easily next week's number one flick.
Number of Theaters: 3,900
Prediction: $70 million
Continue reading Box Office: Who Wants WALL-E?
Posted Jun 18th 2008 4:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
The Incredible Hulk took first place last weekend, but notably pulled in about $6.5 million less than Ang Lee's 2004
Hulk. M. Night Shyamalan's
The Happening took third but still exceeded expectations. Here's last weekend's top five:
1. The Incredible Hulk: $55.4 million
2. Kung Fu Panda: $33.6 million
3. The Happening: $30.5 million
4. You Don't Mess with the Zohan: $16.4 million
5. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull: $14.7 million
Both of this week's new releases are comedies, putting them in direct competition with one another, so this should be interesting.
Get Smart
What's It All About: Steve Carell and
Anne Hathaway star in this adaptation of the classic 60's spy comedy. Carell is Maxwell Smart, an eager but inexperienced analyst for an espionage agency called CONTROL. Max is suddenly promoted to field agent when the evil organization KAOS learns the identity of nearly every Control agent in the world, and he is teamed with the lovely agent 99 played by Hathaway.
Why It Might Do Well: There's nostalgia appeal at work here, plus Steve Carell's presence will stir up memories of hits like
The 40 Year Old Virgin and he's still got plenty of fans from NBC's
The Office. Why It Might Not Do Well: How well a spy caper created during the Cold War translates to the 21st century remains to be seen. Also, the 58% rating at
rottentomatoes.com isn't thrilling me.
Number of Theaters: 3,700
Prediction: $40 million
Continue reading Box Office: Love Smarts
Posted Jun 11th 2008 9:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Drama, Horror, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office, Comic/Superhero/Geek, Box Office Predictions
The animated family film
Kung Fu Panda proved to be the favorite last week, though the Adam Sandler comedy
You Don't Mess With the Zohan didn't do too shabby either. The two films led the way for the second biggest June weekend in box office history.
1. Kung Fu Panda: $60.2 million
2. You Don't Mess with the Zohan: $38.5 million
3. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull: $22.7 million
4. Sex and the City: $21.2 million
5. The Strangers: $8.9 million
Two huge releases this week, each of which represents a comeback of sorts.
The Incredible Hulk
What's It All About: In the wake of Ang Lee's not so well received 2003
The Hulk, the franchise gets a reboot and the character gets back the adjective that all the 60s Marvel characters had (
The Uncanny X-Men,
The Amazing Spider-man, etc.).
Edward Norton plays the over-irradiated Dr. Bruce Banner who, when angered, turns green around the gills and starts throwing tanks around. He is being pursued by the military which is led by General "Thunderbolt" Ross (
William Hurt) and he does battle with another gamma powered mutation called The Abomination (
Tim Roth).
Why It Might Do Well: There appears to be more action in this Hulk movie than the last, and as
Iron Man proved not that long ago, an exciting, well produced comic book movie can be a license to print money.
Why It Might Not Do Well: While this is a more satisfyingly ferocious looking Hulk, the fact that he's a CGI creation (albeit a pretty good one) is obvious to the point of distraction. Will audiences be able to get past this?
Number of Theaters: 3,400
Prediction: $65 million
Continue reading Box Office: The Hulk is Happening
Posted Jun 4th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
Sex and the City surprised a lot of people, not by doing well, but by doing extremely well, pushing
Indiana Jones back to the number two spot for its second week of release. Last week's other new release,
The Strangers, starring Liv Tyler, scared the American public out of a respectable amount of cash as well. Here are the numbers:
1. Sex and the City: $56.8 million
2. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull: $44.7 million
3. The Strangers: $20.9 million
4. Iron Man: $13.5 million
5. The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian: $12.7 million
We've got two more new releases this week, both of which are going for the laughs.
What's It All About: A Kung Fu loving panda (voiced by
Jack Black) must put work in the family noodle shop on hold when he is chosen to fulfill an ancient prophecy. Now he studies alongside martial arts experts Tigress, Crane, Mantis, Viper and Monkey -- under the leadership of their guru, Master Shifu.
Why It Might Do Well: With all the big releases lately, there haven't been many geared toward the little ones, so I can see this one filling a void and
Rottentomatoes.com gives it a 92% fresh rating.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Come on, he's a panda. What are you, some kind of panda hater? Heck, I suspect this will be next week's number one movie.
Number of Theaters: 3,600
Prediction: $56 million
Continue reading Box Office: Panda Vs. The Zohan
Posted May 28th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Horror, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
To absolutely no one's surprise, the return of Harrison Ford as Indiana Jones made some serious cash this past weekend, achieving the tenth best opening weekend in history. Including Memorial Day receipts,
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull pulled in $125 million.
Prince Caspian slipped into second place, but in doing so tumbled 58% from the previous week. This summer's first blockbuster,
Iron Man, took third place for its fourth week of release and has taken in a total of $252.6 million so far. Here's how the top five looked:
1. Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull: $100.1 million
2. The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian: $22.7 million
3. Iron Man: $20.4 million
4. What Happens in Vegas: $9.1 million
5. Speed Racer: $3.9Two new releases this week, and between the two of them America should get its recommended daily allowance of sex and violence:
Sex and the CityWhat's It All About: Yes, they're back. Carrie Bradshaw (
Sarah Jessica Parker) and her cohorts continue their escapades from the successful HBO series.
Why It Might Do Well: A 67% rating at
Rottentomatoes.com isn't earth shattering, but it is respectable, and the show has a massive built-in
cult following.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The movie will need to bring in more than just the show's fans, and this will be a tough sell for men.
Number of Theaters: 3,100
Prediction: $35 million
Continue reading Box Office: Sex With a Stranger
Posted May 21st 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Action, Box Office, George Lucas, Steven Spielberg, Remakes and Sequels, Box Office Predictions
Well, the
Prince is certainly no pauper, but some expected the latest installment in
The Chronicles of Narnia to have a more auspicious debut.
Prince Caspian fell about $10 million short of the opening weekend figures for 2005's
The Lion the Witch and the Wardrobe. Still, the fantasy adventure was enough to knock
Iron Man down a peg after two weeks in the number one spot. Here's the top five:
1. The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian: $55 million
2. Iron Man: $31.8 million
3. What Happens in Vegas: $13.8 million
4. Speed Racer: $8.1 million
5. Made of Honor: $4.7 million
Just one movie coming out this week, people, but it's going to be a doozy.
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
What's It All About: Indiana who? I kid, I kid. Nearly twenty years after the last installment in the series,
Harrison Ford,
Steven Spielberg and
George Lucas join forces once again to regale the world with an adventure from the character who may damn well be the ass-kickingest action hero to ever grace the silver screen.
Karen Allen also returns as Marion Ravenwood, a character we haven't seen since 1981's
Raiders of the Lost Ark, and Indy's young sidekick is played by Shia LaBeouf.
Why It Might Do Well: The film scored
79% at Rottentomatoes.com,
Cinematical's own
Scott Weinberg gave the film his seal of approval, and this is Indiana Freakin' Jones, people! I don't know about you, but last weekend's Indiana Jones marathon on the Sci-Fi Channel got me pumped and I am DYING to see this one.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The Connecticut Cadre of Kate Capshaw Kibitzers are threatening to boycott the film because Ms. Capshaw will not be reprising her role from
Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom, but aside from them I think everyone's going.
Number of Theaters: 3,900
Prediction: $105 million
Continue reading Box Office: Jonesing For Indiana
Posted May 14th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office, Family Films, Box Office Predictions
Yes, I imagine right about now the folks at Marvel Productions are sporting grins wide enough to swallow their own ears.
Iron Man held the number one spot for two weeks in a row, taking in $177 million since its release last week, making it the top grossing film of 2008 so far. The superhero blockbuster pulled in more than last week's two new releases combined, with
Ashton Kutcher and
Cameron Diaz's comedy
What Happens in Vegas edging out the
Wachowskis more family-friendly adaptation of
Speed Racer. Here's the final tally.
1. Iron Man: $51.1 million
2. What Happens in Vegas: $20.1 million
3. Speed Racer: $18.5 million
4. Made of Honor: $8.1 million
5. Baby Mama: $6.2 million
Just one solitary new release for this week. Will it be enough to dethrone Marvel's golden avenger?
The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince CaspianWhat's It All About: A year has passed since the events of
The Lion, The Witch and the Wardrobe, but when the Pevensie siblings return to the world of Narnia, they find that 1,300 years have gone by and the land is under the tyrannical rule of King Miraz, though young Prince Caspian is the rightful heir to the throne.
Why It Might Do Well: Being the sequel to a successful flick ($65 million opening weekend with a total of $744 million worldwide) and the only major release hitting U.S. theaters this week, things are looking good for the Narnian economy. And the 88% fresh rating at
Rottentomatoes.com can't hurt.
Why It Might Not Do Well: I suppose if another
Grand Theft Auto game should suddenly come out...
Number of Theaters: 3,800
Prediction: $65 million
Continue reading Box Office: Prince Caspian Arrives
Posted May 7th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
I knew I was being a little conservative on my $62 million prediction for
Iron Man, but HOLY JEEZ! The comic book adaptation had the tenth highest opening weekend in history, and the second biggest for a non-sequel. In addition to the $98.6 million Marvel's armored avenger made domestically, he also pulled in $96.8 million overseas, putting the $140 million budgeted film comfortably into the black. Last week's other newbie
Made of Honor took second with a comparatively reserved but still respectable $14.7 million. Here's the rundown:
1. Iron Man: $98.6 million
2. Made of Honor: $14.7 million
3. Baby Mama: $10 million
4. Harold and Kumar Escape from Guantanamo Bay: $6.1 million
5. Forgetting Sarah Marshall: $6 million
Again, just two new ones this week:
Speed Racer
What's It All About: Andy and Larry Wachowski, the team behind the
Matrix trilogy, adapt the classic 60's anime
Speed Racer using a visual style reminiscent of Japanese animation melded with a modern video game aesthetic.
Why It Might Do Well: The trailer was amazing, and
Cinematical's own James Rocchi describes the film as "a blast of pure pop family fun" in his review, which you can read
right here.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The 40% rating on
Rottentomatoes.com suggests this one may have trouble knocking
Iron Man out of first place.
Number of Theaters: 3,600
Prediction: $43 million
Continue reading Box Office: Go, Speed Racer, Go
Posted Apr 30th 2008 3:31PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Romance, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office, Comic/Superhero/Geek, Box Office Predictions
The trend of successful pregnancy comedies led by
Knocked Up and
Juno continued as
Baby Mama took top honors.
Harold and Kumar took second but still managed to pull in almost $3million over its $12 million budget. Last week's other new release,
Deception, fell way behind the pack and took in only $2.3 million to finish in tenth place. Here are the final numbers:
1. Baby Mama: $17.4 million
2. Harold and Kumar Escape from Guantanamo Bay: $14.9 million
3. The Forbidden Kingdom: $11.2 million
4. Forgetting Sarah Marshall: $11 million
5. Nim's Island: $4.5 million
Only two new releases this week, but one of them is a doozy.
Iron ManWhat's It All About: At this point I doubt this film needs any introduction, but here goes. Based on the long running Marvel comic,
Iron Man stars
Robert Downey Jr. as Tony Stark, a wealthy arms manufacturer (because an impoverished arms manufacturer would just be silly). When Stark is captured and forced to build a dangerous weapon, he instead makes a high tech suit of armor and uses it to escape. He further refines the suit and uses it to stop a conspiracy that threatens the world.
Why It Might Do Well: Well, we're talking one of the widest releases we've seen in awhile, a 90% fresh rating at
Rottentomatoes.com, and some kickass trailers and clips that have been generating a lot of buzz. Also, we've got a lead actor with some serious star power, and a supporting cast that includes
Terrence Howard,
Jeff Bridges and
Gwyneth Paltrow. Obviously this is next week's number one flick, the question is just how much will it rake in?
Why It Might Not Do Well: If every single person involved with this film went on network television tomorrow and shot a puppy, people would still flock to this one.
Number of Theaters: 3,800
Prediction: $62 million
Made of HonorWhat's It All About: When Tom's (
Patrick Dempsey) best friend Hannah (
Michelle Monaghan) leaves for a six week business trip he sees how empty his life is without her. He resolves to propose when she returns, but Hannah surprises Tom with the announcement of her engagement to someone else, and a request that he be her "maid" of honor.
Why It Might Do Well: This romantic comedy is different enough from
Iron Man to snap up the remainder of the audience that's not into the super hero stuff.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The fact that this is the only other film being released the same weekend as what will probably be one of the biggest movies of the year seems to indicate a film the studio has little faith in.
Number of Theaters: 2,700
Prediction: $14 million
This seems like the most straightforward prediction we've had in a long while, which is a sure fire sign we're heading into the Summer blockbuster season. Here's how I see things working out:
1. Iron Man
2. Made of Honor
3. Baby Mama
4. Harold and Kumar Escape From Guantanamo Bay
5. Forgetting Sarah MarshallStill no perfect scores this week, but our group average is up over last week. Here's how everyone did in our weekly box office prediction competition.
1. Ray: 13
1. Mario: 13
1. Brent Todd: 13
1. kevin: 13
2. Erin: 11
3. Matt: 9
3. matt: 9
3. AJ Wiley: 9
3. Chris: 9
4. cubitfox: 8
4. zach: 8
4. Mike: 6
4. Sam: 6
4. plinstrot: 6
5. Matthew: 4
5. I Eat Robots: 4
5. DarkAgair: 4
5. Aaron: 4
5. Awesomepants: 4
5. Prateek S: 4
Will the latest feature film from Marvel rule with an iron fist? Yeah, probably, but what about the rest of the top five? Join in on the fun. Post your predictions for the top five movies in the comments section below before 5:00PM Eastern Time on Friday. One point for every top five movie correctly named, two points for every correct placement, and one extra point for the top movie.
Posted Apr 23rd 2008 4:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Thrillers, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
Everyone who took part in last week's competition, myself included, failed to foresee
The Forbidden Kingdom outdoing
Forgetting Sarah Marshall, but the martial arts actioner was the clear winner.
Prom Night held on to third place, content in the knowledge that it had already earned back its $20 million budget last week. Here's the rundown:
1. The Forbidden Kingdom: $20.9 million
2. Forgetting Sarah Marshall: $17.3 million
3. Prom Night: $9.1 million
4. 88 Minutes: $6.8 million
5. Nim's Island: $5.7 million
Opening this week, we have:
What's It All About: Tina Fey plays an executive dying to be a mother, and when she finds out she's unable to conceive, she must turn to a flaky but fertile
Amy PoehlerWhy It Might Do Well: Fey is awesome on
30 Rock, and though I usually get flack for saying this, I thought the Fey/Poehler Weekend Update team on
SNL was one of the best in the show's history. And with a supporting cast that includes
Sigourney Weaver, Steve Martin and
Maura Tierney, I am so there. The 88% fresh rating from
Rottentomatoes.com is icing on the cake.
Why It Might Not Do Well: The poster is so darn zany I could just puke.
Number of Theaters: 2,500
Prediction: $18 million
Continue reading Box Office: Deception at Guantanamo Bay
Posted Apr 16th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Action, Comedy, Drama, Thrillers, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
It was a tough race to call, but looking back and realizing that if I had just swapped
Prom Night and
Street Kings I would have had a perfect prediction, all I can say is "D'oh!" The slasher reimagining took the lead by quite a margin, with the Keanu Reeves cop drama taking the silver. Say what you will about PG-13 horror and/or horror remakes, but
Prom Night made back its $20 million budget in a single weekend, so we can probably expect more of the same.
Smart People, last week's third new release, came in seventh. Here's the top five:
1. Prom Night: $20.8 million
2. Street Kings: $12.4 million
3. 21: $10.4 million
4. Nim's Island: $9.1 million
5. Leatherheads: $6.2 million
What's new for this week? Glad you asked:
88 Minutes
What's It All About: Al Pacino plays a university professor and an expert in forensic psychiatry, and he's just been informed via an anonymous phone call that he has only 88 minutes left to live. Kind of a cross between
DOA and
24.
Why It Might Do Well: Pacino is still the man ...
Why It Might Not Do Well: ...however, his star power may not carry much weight with younger ticket buyers, and a 22% rating from
Rottentomatoes.com does not bode well. Also, of this week's new flicks, this one is hitting the smallest number of theaters.
Number of Theaters: 2,000
Prediction: $9 million
Continue reading Box Office: Forgetting the Forbidden
Posted Apr 9th 2008 4:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Drama, Horror, Box Office, Box Office Predictions
21 held a winning hand for two weeks in a row, taking the number one spot for the second time and
Nim's Island led last week's new releases by taking second. Here's how the weekend went:
1. 21: $15.3 million2. Nim's Island: $13.2 million
3. Leatherheads: $12.6 million
4. Horton Hears A Who: $9.1 million
5. The Ruins: $8 million
Here are this week's newbies:
Prom Night
What's It All About: Loosely based on the 1980 film of the same name which starred
Jamie Lee Curtis. In this new version, a young woman named Donna and her friends are stalked by an obsessed killer on, you guessed it, prom night.
Why It Might Do Well: The trailer shows a bunch of teenage characters consistent with what you see on the CW Network, so if that's your bag you may enjoy this.
Why It Might Not Do Well: A PG-13 slasher film? That's like washing your feet without taking off your socks.
Number of Theaters: 2,400
Prediction: $11 million
Continue reading Box Office: Smart Prom King
Posted Apr 2nd 2008 6:15PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Horror, Sci-Fi & Fantasy, Box Office, Family Films, Box Office Predictions
I had predicted
Horton Hears a Who would hold onto the number one spot for another week, but that honor went to the blackjack drama
21, and as much bad word of mouth spoof movies get
Superhero Movie still managed to take third. Here are the weekend totals:
1. 21: $24.1 million
This weekend will see three new major releases representing the romantic comedy, family, and horror genres.
Leatherheads
What's It All About: George Clooney stars in and directs this romantic comedy set against the backdrop of the rise of professional football in the 1920s.
Why It Might Do Well: Well, it's directed by Clooney, and despite the fact that every time his name comes up I feel obliged to make a crack about
Batman and Robin (those wounds have yet to fully heal), his last directorial effort was the excellent
Good Night and Good Luck. That film had a $7 million budget and pulled in $54.6 million worldwide.
Why It Might Not Do Well: This one should do well enough, but based on the number of theaters, I don't see this one hitting number one.
Number of Theaters: 2,700
Prediction: $19 million
Continue reading Box Office: Nim's Leathery Ruins
Posted Mar 26th 2008 6:02PM by Matt Bradshaw
Filed under: Comedy, Thrillers, Box Office, Comic/Superhero/Geek, Box Office Predictions, War
The Seuss-abration continued as
Horton Hears a Who held onto number one for the second consecutive week.
Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns took second, but held the highest per screen average of the top five films ($10,011). The caveman spectacle
10,000 B.C. took fifth, clinging to the top five for the third week in a row. Here are the totals:
1. Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who: $24.5 million
2. Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns: $20 million
3. Shutter: $10.4 million
4. Drillbit Taylor: $10.3 million
5. 10,000 B.C.: $8.9 millionFour new flicks going into wide release, with the movies being divided equally between comedy and drama.
21What's It All About: A young man in dire need of money to pay for his education at M.I.T. takes part in a well-organized card counting ring with a fool-proof method for winning at blackjack. Based on a true story.
Why It Might Do Well: The combined cool factor of having
Kevin Spacey and
Laurence Fishburne in the same movie may make some people curious.
Why It Might Not Do Well: Rottentomatoes.com is giving this one a lackluster 54%, and personally watching people play cards bores me to tears.
Number of Theaters: 2,500
Prediction: $17 million
Continue reading Box Office: 21 Fatboys and a Superhero
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